Download e-book for iPad: Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to by Ward Edwards,Ralph F. Miles Jr.,Detlof von Winterfeldt

By Ward Edwards,Ralph F. Miles Jr.,Detlof von Winterfeldt

choice research is a prescriptive idea that aids members or teams faced with complicated difficulties in a large choice of contexts. by way of framing concerns, picking out hazards, eliciting stakeholder personal tastes, and suggesting substitute methods, determination analysts can provide attainable recommendations in domain names resembling the surroundings, well-being and drugs, engineering and operations study, and public coverage. This booklet is a mix of historic and forward-looking essays on key issues in selection research. half I covers the historical past and foundations of determination research. half II discusses structuring determination difficulties, together with the advance of targets and their attributes, and impact diagrams. half III discusses percentages and their elicitation and Bayes nets. half IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, probability personal tastes, and 'option pricing' tools. half V discusses chance research. half VI places determination research in a behavioral and organizational context. half VII offers case reports of applications.

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Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications by Ward Edwards,Ralph F. Miles Jr.,Detlof von Winterfeldt

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